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GEFS Ensembles Continue to Show Below Average into Late August

THE TREND IS YOUR FRIEND, WHEN MODEL AGREEMENT OCCURS

The GEFS ensembles continue to agree on a cooler Southeast US through a majority of this month. Persistent upper-level disturbances causing a storm track across the Southeat will take shape. If this were to occur into winter, it would mean snow for the Southeast as in a neutral ENSO event. We’re looking at the GEFS around the 24th or so:

Frequent similarities also occurred before this, around the 21st:

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