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GFS and GEFS Still Showing More Trouble in the Tropics

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10-12-2016

Previously, the GFS was showing another Matthew barreling across Cuba and the Caribbean again. We are concerned that this would become a short-term pattern. The GFS, and GEFS ensembles are indicating another Carribben Hurricane anytime between the 23-28th of this month.

What is interesting to note is that this storm will have a similar origin as Matthew, well below Cuba and near South America. We will have to keep an eye on this, as the models have been consistent with spinning up a storm.

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gfs_mslp_pcpn_watl_52
GFS for around Oct 28 courtesy of Tropical Tidbits
gfs-ememb_lowlocs_watl_51
GEFS ensemble low pressure locations for Oct 25. Courtesy of Tropical Tidbits
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